Research Realistic Survival Times
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Expert Review

Posted on behalf of Prof. Mike Tipton (University of Portsmouth):  

Predicting cold exposure survival time on land is a very inexact science. The Cold Exposure Survival Model (CESM) (written by Dr Peter Tikuisis) can, I believe,  be used for land predictions, but without knowing much about the circumstances of an accident, it will have very wide confidence limits. 

For interest I have attached a few of our papers/chapters on this area with respect to water - the variability on land is greater!

 

All the best,

Mike 

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